F5 Predictions

First 5 Innings Model V1 — model confidence only, no sportsbook edge
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9 game(s)

Detroit Tigers @ Texas Rangers NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Detroit Tigers
50.2%
Texas Rangers
49.8%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.77
Detroit Tigers Runs
5.26
Total
2.49
Texas Rangers Runs
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
Starting Pitchers
Framber Valdez Starter Nathan Eovaldi
4.29 ERA 4.02
1.38 WHIP 1.17
Recent Offense
4.67 L7 RPG 5.33
4.76 L30 RPG 4.62
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Texas Rangers Nathan Eovaldi (3.95 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 9.1 K/9) vs Detroit Tigers Framber Valdez (4.05 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 7.3 K/9). Texas Rangers offense: 4.07 RPG season, 5.00 L7, 4.26 L30. Detroit Tigers offense: 4.21 RPG season, 6.00 L7, 5.12 L30. Model F5: Texas Rangers 49.8% / Detroit Tigers 50.2%. Projected: Texas Rangers 2.49, Detroit Tigers 2.77 (total 5.26). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 0.2% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
Los Angeles Angels
41.9%
Seattle Mariners ★
58.1%
1.08
Los Angeles Angels Runs
2.97
Total
1.90
Seattle Mariners Runs
Los Angeles Angels
★ Seattle Mariners
Starting Pitchers
Walbert Ureña Starter Bryce Miller
3.03 ERA 1.71
1.31 WHIP 0.66
Recent Offense
5.17 L7 RPG 3.33
4.23 L30 RPG 3.28
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Seattle Mariners Bryce Miller (1.97 ERA, 0.72 WHIP, 10.8 K/9) vs Los Angeles Angels Walbert Ureña (3.14 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 8.7 K/9). Seattle Mariners offense: 4.09 RPG season, 4.33 L7, 3.77 L30. Los Angeles Angels offense: 4.49 RPG season, 3.40 L7, 4.92 L30. Model F5: Seattle Mariners 58.1% / Los Angeles Angels 41.9%. Projected: Seattle Mariners 1.90, Los Angeles Angels 1.08 (total 2.97). Lean: Seattle Mariners F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 8.1% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Pittsburgh Pirates
47.2%
Philadelphia Phillies
52.8%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.07
Pittsburgh Pirates Runs
7.17
Total
4.10
Philadelphia Phillies Runs
Pittsburgh Pirates
Philadelphia Phillies
Starting Pitchers
Jared Jones Starter Alan Rangel
5.28 ERA 4.50
1.38 WHIP 1.17
Recent Offense
6.83 L7 RPG 3.50
6.12 L30 RPG 5.15
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Philadelphia Phillies Alan Rangel (4.50 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 9.8 K/9) vs Pittsburgh Pirates Jared Jones (5.76 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 9.0 K/9). Philadelphia Phillies offense: 4.52 RPG season, 6.29 L7, 5.82 L30. Pittsburgh Pirates offense: 5.13 RPG season, 6.00 L7, 5.37 L30. Model F5: Philadelphia Phillies 52.8% / Pittsburgh Pirates 47.2%. Projected: Philadelphia Phillies 4.10, Pittsburgh Pirates 3.07 (total 7.17). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 2.8% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Cincinnati Reds
44.5%
Milwaukee Brewers ★
55.5%
0.99
Cincinnati Reds Runs
2.76
Total
1.77
Milwaukee Brewers Runs
Cincinnati Reds
★ Milwaukee Brewers
Starting Pitchers
Chase Burns Starter Jacob Misiorowski
2.40 ERA 1.47
1.08 WHIP 0.78
Recent Offense
3.83 L7 RPG 5.14
4.04 L30 RPG 4.39
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Milwaukee Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (1.45 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, 13.3 K/9) vs Cincinnati Reds Chase Burns (2.36 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 11.1 K/9). Milwaukee Brewers offense: 5.17 RPG season, 4.50 L7, 5.56 L30. Cincinnati Reds offense: 4.20 RPG season, 4.33 L7, 3.81 L30. Model F5: Milwaukee Brewers 55.5% / Cincinnati Reds 44.5%. Projected: Milwaukee Brewers 1.77, Cincinnati Reds 0.99 (total 2.76). Lean: Milwaukee Brewers F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 5.5% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
San Diego Padres
49.8%
Los Angeles Dodgers
50.2%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.34
San Diego Padres Runs
5.85
Total
3.52
Los Angeles Dodgers Runs
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting Pitchers
Randy Vásquez Starter Roki Sasaki
4.44 ERA 5.40
1.46 WHIP 1.40
Recent Offense
5.17 L7 RPG 3.00
4.15 L30 RPG 4.77
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Los Angeles Dodgers Roki Sasaki (4.88 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 9.0 K/9) vs San Diego Padres Randy Vásquez (4.44 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 6.7 K/9). Los Angeles Dodgers offense: 5.31 RPG season, 6.50 L7, 5.44 L30. San Diego Padres offense: 3.92 RPG season, 4.00 L7, 3.93 L30. Model F5: Los Angeles Dodgers 50.2% / San Diego Padres 49.8%. Projected: Los Angeles Dodgers 3.52, San Diego Padres 2.34 (total 5.85). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 0.2% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Tampa Bay Rays
53.7%
Kansas City Royals
46.3%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.00
Tampa Bay Rays Runs
4.67
Total
1.67
Kansas City Royals Runs
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
Starting Pitchers
Ian Seymour Starter Stephen Kolek
4.11 ERA 4.15
1.08 WHIP 1.19
Recent Offense
4.67 L7 RPG 4.50
4.63 L30 RPG 4.89
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Kansas City Royals Stephen Kolek (4.15 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 5.9 K/9) vs Tampa Bay Rays Ian Seymour (4.32 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 9.4 K/9). Kansas City Royals offense: 4.15 RPG season, 2.17 L7, 4.85 L30. Tampa Bay Rays offense: 4.58 RPG season, 7.00 L7, 4.19 L30. Model F5: Kansas City Royals 46.3% / Tampa Bay Rays 53.7%. Projected: Kansas City Royals 1.67, Tampa Bay Rays 3.00 (total 4.67). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 3.7% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Miami Marlins @ Colorado Rockies Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Miami Marlins
54.8%
Colorado Rockies
45.2%
No side meets confidence threshold
4.62
Miami Marlins Runs
8.20
Total
3.58
Colorado Rockies Runs
Miami Marlins
Colorado Rockies
Starting Pitchers
Ryan Gusto Starter Michael Lorenzen
5.06 ERA 6.46
1.55 WHIP 1.78
Recent Offense
3.50 L7 RPG 2.67
5.12 L30 RPG 5.93
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Colorado Rockies Michael Lorenzen (6.83 ERA, 1.79 WHIP, 7.3 K/9) vs Miami Marlins Ryan Gusto (5.06 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 8.6 K/9). Colorado Rockies offense: 4.63 RPG season, 5.67 L7, 5.50 L30. Miami Marlins offense: 4.44 RPG season, 6.17 L7, 4.96 L30. Model F5: Colorado Rockies 45.2% / Miami Marlins 54.8%. Projected: Colorado Rockies 3.58, Miami Marlins 4.62 (total 8.20). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 4.8% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
Chicago White Sox ★
58.0%
Cleveland Guardians
42.0%
3.61
Chicago White Sox Runs
5.30
Total
1.69
Cleveland Guardians Runs
Chicago White Sox ★
Cleveland Guardians
Starting Pitchers
Davis Martin Starter Slade Cecconi
3.08 ERA 4.44
1.26 WHIP 1.40
Recent Offense
4.33 L7 RPG 3.83
4.89 L30 RPG 3.84
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Cleveland Guardians Slade Cecconi (4.18 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 7.0 K/9) vs Chicago White Sox Davis Martin (3.00 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 8.7 K/9). Cleveland Guardians offense: 3.97 RPG season, 4.17 L7, 3.69 L30. Chicago White Sox offense: 4.82 RPG season, 7.67 L7, 5.16 L30. Model F5: Cleveland Guardians 42.0% / Chicago White Sox 58.0%. Projected: Cleveland Guardians 1.69, Chicago White Sox 3.61 (total 5.30). Lean: Chicago White Sox F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 8.0% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
St. Louis Cardinals
42.8%
Atlanta Braves ★
57.2%
1.54
St. Louis Cardinals Runs
3.07
Total
1.53
Atlanta Braves Runs
St. Louis Cardinals
★ Atlanta Braves
Starting Pitchers
Dustin May Starter Hurston Waldrep
4.55 ERA 3.68
1.25 WHIP 1.64
Recent Offense
3.29 L7 RPG 3.83
4.22 L30 RPG 4.08
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Atlanta Braves Hurston Waldrep (0.00 ERA, 3.00 WHIP, 13.5 K/9) vs St. Louis Cardinals Dustin May (4.30 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 8.3 K/9). Atlanta Braves offense: 4.74 RPG season, 2.60 L7, 3.42 L30. St. Louis Cardinals offense: 4.43 RPG season, 1.80 L7, 4.80 L30. Model F5: Atlanta Braves 57.2% / St. Louis Cardinals 42.8%. Projected: Atlanta Braves 1.53, St. Louis Cardinals 1.54 (total 3.07). Lean: Atlanta Braves F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 7.2% above 50% MLB_F5_V1