Today's F5 Picks

Monday, April 13, 2026
All Games

Today's Games

View All
HOU @ SEA
Mike Burrows vs George Kirby
TBD
AZ @ BAL
Ryne Nelson vs Dean Kremer
TBD
WSH @ PIT
Cade Cavalli vs Paul Skenes
TBD
CHC @ PHI
Javier Assad vs Cristopher Sánchez
TBD
LAA @ NYY
Yusei Kikuchi vs Will Warren
TBD
MIA @ ATL
Eury Pérez vs Grant Holmes
TBD
BOS @ MIN
Garrett Crochet vs Bailey Ober
TBD
CLE @ STL
Gavin Williams vs Matthew Liberatore
TBD
TEX @ ATH
Nathan Eovaldi vs Luis Severino
TBD
NYM @ LAD
David Peterson vs Justin Wrobleski
TBD

F5 Picks

2 A 3 B 5 C
10 picks from today's latest run
Tier A
F5 Moneyline
NYY
Edge
5.6%
LAA @ NYY
Recommended Market
F5 Moneyline
Recommended Side
NYY
Confidence Tier
A
5.6%
Edge
68.9%
Home Win Prob F5
3.14
Exp Runs Home F5
2.45
Exp Runs Away F5
5.60
Exp Runs Total F5
Reasoning
wRC+ H=118.09 A=91.69; expH=3.14 expA=2.45; diff=0.69; BestLine book=betonlineag price=-172 implied=0.632 model=0.689 edge=0.056; homeP(xERA=4.57,kbb=0.059,adj=1.139); awayP(xERA=4.47,kbb=0.051,adj=1.133)
Created
2026-04-13 21:54:56 UTC
Tier A
F5 Moneyline
SEA
Edge
-0.7%
HOU @ SEA
Recommended Market
F5 Moneyline
Recommended Side
SEA
Confidence Tier
A
-0.7%
Edge
61.7%
Home Win Prob F5
2.84
Exp Runs Home F5
2.42
Exp Runs Away F5
5.26
Exp Runs Total F5
Reasoning
wRC+ H=114.48 A=97.71; expH=2.84 expA=2.42; diff=0.42; BestLine book=draftkings price=-166 implied=0.624 model=0.617 edge=-0.007; homeP(xERA=4.2,kbb=0.13,adj=1.055); awayP(xERA=4.2,kbb=0.13,adj=1.055)
Created
2026-04-13 21:54:55 UTC
Tier B
F5 Moneyline
WSH
Edge
20.0%
WSH @ PIT
Recommended Market
F5 Moneyline
Recommended Side
WSH
Confidence Tier
B
20.0%
Edge
41.2%
Home Win Prob F5
2.09
Exp Runs Home F5
2.40
Exp Runs Away F5
4.48
Exp Runs Total F5
Reasoning
wRC+ H=84.25 A=100; expH=2.09 expA=2.4; diff=-0.31; BestLine book=fanduel price=205 implied=0.328 model=0.588 edge=0.2; homeP(xERA=2.65,kbb=0.083,adj=1.02); awayP(xERA=4.2,kbb=0.13,adj=1.055)
Created
2026-04-13 21:54:55 UTC
Tier B
F5 Moneyline
STL
Edge
10.0%
CLE @ STL
Recommended Market
F5 Moneyline
Recommended Side
STL
Confidence Tier
B
10.0%
Edge
58.8%
Home Win Prob F5
2.53
Exp Runs Home F5
2.22
Exp Runs Away F5
4.76
Exp Runs Total F5
Reasoning
wRC+ H=96 A=89.74; expH=2.53 expA=2.22; diff=0.31; BestLine book=betonlineag price=105 implied=0.488 model=0.588 edge=0.1; homeP(xERA=4.2,kbb=0.13,adj=1.055); awayP(xERA=4.29,kbb=0.048,adj=1.123)
Created
2026-04-13 21:54:57 UTC
Tier B
F5 Moneyline
BOS
Edge
-7.2%
BOS @ MIN
Recommended Market
F5 Moneyline
Recommended Side
BOS
Confidence Tier
B
-7.2%
Edge
43.7%
Home Win Prob F5
2.33
Exp Runs Home F5
2.55
Exp Runs Away F5
4.89
Exp Runs Total F5
Reasoning
wRC+ H=96.99 A=103.03; expH=2.33 expA=2.55; diff=-0.22; BestLine book=betus price=-174 implied=0.635 model=0.563 edge=-0.072; homeP(xERA=4.2,kbb=0.13,adj=1.055); awayP(xERA=2.88,kbb=0.092,adj=1.023)
Created
2026-04-13 21:54:56 UTC
Tier C
F5 Total
Over
Edge
20.0%
NYM @ LAD
Recommended Market
F5 Total
Recommended Side
Over
Confidence Tier
C
20.0%
Edge
53.2%
Home Win Prob F5
3.05
Exp Runs Home F5
2.93
Exp Runs Away F5
5.98
Exp Runs Total F5
Reasoning
wRC+ H=113.61 A=118.33; expH=3.05 expA=2.93; diff=0.11; BestLine book=mybookieag point=4.5 price=-116 implied=0.537 model=0.864 edge=0.2; homeP(xERA=4.2,kbb=0.13,adj=1.055); awayP(xERA=4.59,kbb=0.045,adj=1.141)
Created
2026-04-13 21:54:57 UTC
Tier C
F5 Total
Over
Edge
20.0%
MIA @ ATL
Recommended Market
F5 Total
Recommended Side
Over
Confidence Tier
C
20.0%
Edge
49.8%
Home Win Prob F5
2.51
Exp Runs Home F5
2.52
Exp Runs Away F5
5.03
Exp Runs Total F5
Reasoning
wRC+ H=101.35 A=101.57; expH=2.51 expA=2.52; diff=-0.01; BestLine book=bovada point=4 price=-125 implied=0.556 model=0.783 edge=0.2; homeP(xERA=4.2,kbb=0.13,adj=1.055); awayP(xERA=4.2,kbb=0.13,adj=1.055)
Created
2026-04-13 21:54:56 UTC
Tier C
F5 Total
Over
Edge
20.0%
CHC @ PHI
Recommended Market
F5 Total
Recommended Side
Over
Confidence Tier
C
20.0%
Edge
50.9%
Home Win Prob F5
2.73
Exp Runs Home F5
2.70
Exp Runs Away F5
5.44
Exp Runs Total F5
Reasoning
wRC+ H=110.35 A=109.94; expH=2.73 expA=2.7; diff=0.03; BestLine book=fanduel point=4.5 price=-118 implied=0.541 model=0.764 edge=0.2; homeP(xERA=3.02,kbb=0.075,adj=1.046); awayP(xERA=4.2,kbb=0.13,adj=1.055)
Created
2026-04-13 21:54:56 UTC
Tier C
F5 Total
Over
Edge
20.0%
TEX @ ATH
Recommended Market
F5 Total
Recommended Side
Over
Confidence Tier
C
20.0%
Edge
52.0%
Home Win Prob F5
2.62
Exp Runs Home F5
2.55
Exp Runs Away F5
5.18
Exp Runs Total F5
Reasoning
wRC+ H=105.85 A=95.25; expH=2.62 expA=2.55; diff=0.07; BestLine book=betonlineag point=4.5 price=100 implied=0.5 model=0.7 edge=0.2; homeP(xERA=4.59,kbb=0.041,adj=1.141); awayP(xERA=4.2,kbb=0.13,adj=1.055)
Created
2026-04-13 21:54:57 UTC
Tier C
F5 Total
Over
Edge
10.4%
AZ @ BAL
Recommended Market
F5 Total
Recommended Side
Over
Confidence Tier
C
10.4%
Edge
46.9%
Home Win Prob F5
2.47
Exp Runs Home F5
2.58
Exp Runs Away F5
5.05
Exp Runs Total F5
Reasoning
wRC+ H=99.7 A=100; expH=2.47 expA=2.58; diff=-0.11; BestLine book=fanduel point=4.5 price=-128 implied=0.561 model=0.666 edge=0.104; homeP(xERA=3.88,kbb=0.051,adj=1.098); awayP(xERA=4.2,kbb=0.13,adj=1.055)
Created
2026-04-13 21:54:55 UTC