F5 Predictions

First 5 Innings Model V1 — model confidence only, no sportsbook edge
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15 game(s)

New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
New York Yankees
50.1%
Washington Nationals
49.9%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.25
New York Yankees Runs
5.17
Total
2.92
Washington Nationals Runs
New York Yankees
Washington Nationals
Starting Pitchers
Will Warren Starter Cade Cavalli
4.15 ERA 3.88
1.37 WHIP 1.38
Recent Offense
5.00 L7 RPG 5.17
4.11 L30 RPG 5.26
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Washington Nationals Cade Cavalli (3.88 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 10.3 K/9) vs New York Yankees Will Warren (4.15 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 9.1 K/9). Washington Nationals offense: 5.34 RPG season, 5.50 L7, 5.22 L30. New York Yankees offense: 4.81 RPG season, 4.43 L7, 4.11 L30. Model F5: Washington Nationals 49.9% / New York Yankees 50.1%. Projected: Washington Nationals 2.92, New York Yankees 2.25 (total 5.17). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 0.1% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
Houston Astros
41.0%
Texas Rangers ★
59.0%
2.99
Houston Astros Runs
8.31
Total
5.32
Texas Rangers Runs
Houston Astros
★ Texas Rangers
Starting Pitchers
Cristian Javier Starter MacKenzie Gore
10.22 ERA 4.72
2.27 WHIP 1.31
Recent Offense
6.00 L7 RPG 5.33
4.59 L30 RPG 4.56
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Texas Rangers MacKenzie Gore (4.72 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 9.9 K/9) vs Houston Astros Cristian Javier (10.22 ERA, 2.27 WHIP, 6.0 K/9). Texas Rangers offense: 4.14 RPG season, 4.83 L7, 4.37 L30. Houston Astros offense: 4.58 RPG season, 5.50 L7, 4.78 L30. Model F5: Texas Rangers 59.0% / Houston Astros 41.0%. Projected: Texas Rangers 5.32, Houston Astros 2.99 (total 8.31). Lean: Texas Rangers F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 9.0% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Seattle Mariners
52.7%
Tampa Bay Rays
47.3%
No side meets confidence threshold
1.44
Seattle Mariners Runs
3.13
Total
1.70
Tampa Bay Rays Runs
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
Starting Pitchers
Emerson Hancock Starter Ian Seymour
3.23 ERA 4.11
1.01 WHIP 1.08
Recent Offense
3.33 L7 RPG 4.14
3.27 L30 RPG 4.46
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Tampa Bay Rays Ian Seymour (4.11 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 10.6 K/9) vs Seattle Mariners Emerson Hancock (3.23 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 8.5 K/9). Tampa Bay Rays offense: 4.55 RPG season, 3.86 L7, 4.50 L30. Seattle Mariners offense: 4.00 RPG season, 2.67 L7, 3.35 L30. Model F5: Tampa Bay Rays 47.3% / Seattle Mariners 52.7%. Projected: Tampa Bay Rays 1.70, Seattle Mariners 1.44 (total 3.13). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 2.7% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
Atlanta Braves ★
58.1%
St. Louis Cardinals
41.9%
2.50
Atlanta Braves Runs
3.87
Total
1.36
St. Louis Cardinals Runs
Atlanta Braves ★
St. Louis Cardinals
Starting Pitchers
Danny Young Starter Dustin May
2.70 ERA 4.55
0.90 WHIP 1.25
Recent Offense
4.14 L7 RPG 3.25
4.04 L30 RPG 4.39
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: St. Louis Cardinals Dustin May (4.55 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 8.6 K/9) vs Atlanta Braves Danny Young (2.70 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 8.9 K/9). St. Louis Cardinals offense: 4.53 RPG season, 3.38 L7, 4.57 L30. Atlanta Braves offense: 4.85 RPG season, 4.86 L7, 4.08 L30. Model F5: St. Louis Cardinals 41.9% / Atlanta Braves 58.1%. Projected: St. Louis Cardinals 1.36, Atlanta Braves 2.50 (total 3.87). Lean: Atlanta Braves F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 8.1% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Colorado Rockies
49.0%
San Francisco Giants
51.0%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.13
Colorado Rockies Runs
6.65
Total
3.52
San Francisco Giants Runs
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
Starting Pitchers
Michael Lorenzen Starter Trevor McDonald
6.46 ERA 5.46
1.78 WHIP 1.38
Recent Offense
3.29 L7 RPG 4.43
5.89 L30 RPG 4.04
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: San Francisco Giants Trevor McDonald (5.46 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 7.6 K/9) vs Colorado Rockies Michael Lorenzen (6.46 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, 7.0 K/9). San Francisco Giants offense: 4.13 RPG season, 4.86 L7, 3.96 L30. Colorado Rockies offense: 4.79 RPG season, 4.14 L7, 6.00 L30. Model F5: San Francisco Giants 51.0% / Colorado Rockies 49.0%. Projected: San Francisco Giants 3.52, Colorado Rockies 3.13 (total 6.65). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 1.0% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Toronto Blue Jays ★
56.0%
San Diego Padres
44.0%
2.99
Toronto Blue Jays Runs
5.29
Total
2.30
San Diego Padres Runs
Toronto Blue Jays ★
San Diego Padres
Starting Pitchers
Kevin Gausman Starter Germán Márquez
4.32 ERA 5.02
1.22 WHIP 1.43
Recent Offense
6.00 L7 RPG 4.43
3.96 L30 RPG 4.32
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: San Diego Padres Germán Márquez (5.02 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 5.8 K/9) vs Toronto Blue Jays Kevin Gausman (4.32 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 9.2 K/9). San Diego Padres offense: 3.94 RPG season, 4.43 L7, 4.25 L30. Toronto Blue Jays offense: 4.08 RPG season, 5.33 L7, 4.12 L30. Model F5: San Diego Padres 44.0% / Toronto Blue Jays 56.0%. Projected: San Diego Padres 2.30, Toronto Blue Jays 2.99 (total 5.29). Lean: Toronto Blue Jays F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 6.0% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Milwaukee Brewers
47.7%
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.3%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.07
Milwaukee Brewers Runs
5.14
Total
3.07
Pittsburgh Pirates Runs
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting Pitchers
Robert Gasser Starter Paul Skenes
4.15 ERA 3.58
1.18 WHIP 1.04
Recent Offense
5.00 L7 RPG 6.83
4.52 L30 RPG 6.00
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Pittsburgh Pirates Paul Skenes (3.58 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 10.8 K/9) vs Milwaukee Brewers Robert Gasser (4.15 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 8.4 K/9). Pittsburgh Pirates offense: 5.23 RPG season, 6.33 L7, 5.59 L30. Milwaukee Brewers offense: 5.10 RPG season, 4.75 L7, 4.55 L30. Model F5: Pittsburgh Pirates 52.3% / Milwaukee Brewers 47.7%. Projected: Pittsburgh Pirates 3.07, Milwaukee Brewers 2.07 (total 5.14). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 2.3% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Boston Red Sox
54.4%
New York Mets
45.6%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.62
Boston Red Sox Runs
4.93
Total
2.30
New York Mets Runs
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
Starting Pitchers
Payton Tolle Starter Zach Thornton
3.14 ERA 4.35
1.07 WHIP 1.16
Recent Offense
4.67 L7 RPG 5.14
4.33 L30 RPG 4.25
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: New York Mets Zach Thornton (4.35 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 9.0 K/9) vs Boston Red Sox Payton Tolle (3.14 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 9.0 K/9). New York Mets offense: 4.13 RPG season, 6.29 L7, 4.43 L30. Boston Red Sox offense: 4.11 RPG season, 5.33 L7, 4.59 L30. Model F5: New York Mets 45.6% / Boston Red Sox 54.4%. Projected: New York Mets 2.30, Boston Red Sox 2.62 (total 4.93). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 4.4% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Los Angeles Angels
51.7%
Minnesota Twins
48.3%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.49
Los Angeles Angels Runs
4.74
Total
2.26
Minnesota Twins Runs
Los Angeles Angels
Minnesota Twins
Starting Pitchers
José Soriano Starter Taj Bradley
3.40 ERA 3.67
1.28 WHIP 1.22
Recent Offense
5.17 L7 RPG 3.83
4.37 L30 RPG 5.54
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Minnesota Twins Taj Bradley (3.67 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 10.6 K/9) vs Los Angeles Angels José Soriano (3.40 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 9.8 K/9). Minnesota Twins offense: 4.87 RPG season, 4.17 L7, 5.73 L30. Los Angeles Angels offense: 4.46 RPG season, 5.67 L7, 4.44 L30. Model F5: Minnesota Twins 48.3% / Los Angeles Angels 51.7%. Projected: Minnesota Twins 2.26, Los Angeles Angels 2.49 (total 4.74). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 1.7% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Cleveland Guardians
50.0%
Miami Marlins
50.0%
No side meets confidence threshold
1.85
Cleveland Guardians Runs
4.34
Total
2.49
Miami Marlins Runs
Cleveland Guardians
Miami Marlins
Starting Pitchers
Joey Cantillo Starter Tyler Phillips
3.66 ERA 3.28
1.39 WHIP 1.36
Recent Offense
3.83 L7 RPG 3.50
3.81 L30 RPG 5.00
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Miami Marlins Tyler Phillips (3.28 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 6.7 K/9) vs Cleveland Guardians Joey Cantillo (3.66 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 9.0 K/9). Miami Marlins offense: 4.55 RPG season, 4.67 L7, 5.22 L30. Cleveland Guardians offense: 3.96 RPG season, 4.00 L7, 3.73 L30. Model F5: Miami Marlins 50.0% / Cleveland Guardians 50.0%. Projected: Miami Marlins 2.49, Cleveland Guardians 1.85 (total 4.34). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 0.0% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Arizona Diamondbacks
54.1%
Los Angeles Dodgers
45.9%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.84
Arizona Diamondbacks Runs
4.70
Total
1.86
Los Angeles Dodgers Runs
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting Pitchers
Mitch Bratt Starter Emmet Sheehan
3.00 ERA 4.91
1.33 WHIP 1.27
Recent Offense
5.57 L7 RPG 3.83
4.52 L30 RPG 4.85
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Los Angeles Dodgers Emmet Sheehan (4.91 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 10.1 K/9) vs Arizona Diamondbacks Mitch Bratt (3.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 9.0 K/9). Los Angeles Dodgers offense: 5.24 RPG season, 3.67 L7, 4.82 L30. Arizona Diamondbacks offense: 4.33 RPG season, 5.14 L7, 4.52 L30. Model F5: Los Angeles Dodgers 45.9% / Arizona Diamondbacks 54.1%. Projected: Los Angeles Dodgers 1.86, Arizona Diamondbacks 2.84 (total 4.70). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 4.1% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Philadelphia Phillies
51.9%
Detroit Tigers
48.1%
No side meets confidence threshold
1.43
Philadelphia Phillies Runs
3.14
Total
1.71
Detroit Tigers Runs
Philadelphia Phillies
Detroit Tigers
Starting Pitchers
Zack Wheeler Starter Tarik Skubal
2.28 ERA 3.06
0.91 WHIP 0.95
Recent Offense
3.14 L7 RPG 4.67
5.29 L30 RPG 4.62
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Detroit Tigers Tarik Skubal (3.06 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10.8 K/9) vs Philadelphia Phillies Zack Wheeler (2.28 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 10.1 K/9). Detroit Tigers offense: 4.28 RPG season, 5.67 L7, 4.69 L30. Philadelphia Phillies offense: 4.37 RPG season, 2.71 L7, 5.11 L30. Model F5: Detroit Tigers 48.1% / Philadelphia Phillies 51.9%. Projected: Detroit Tigers 1.71, Philadelphia Phillies 1.43 (total 3.14). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 1.9% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Chicago Cubs
54.0%
Cincinnati Reds
46.0%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.73
Chicago Cubs Runs
4.77
Total
2.04
Cincinnati Reds Runs
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
Starting Pitchers
Matthew Boyd Starter Andrew Abbott
4.31 ERA 3.92
1.31 WHIP 1.41
Recent Offense
4.83 L7 RPG 3.83
6.23 L30 RPG 3.96
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Cincinnati Reds Andrew Abbott (3.92 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 7.2 K/9) vs Chicago Cubs Matthew Boyd (4.31 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 10.1 K/9). Cincinnati Reds offense: 4.16 RPG season, 3.67 L7, 3.89 L30. Chicago Cubs offense: 5.01 RPG season, 4.50 L7, 6.12 L30. Model F5: Cincinnati Reds 46.0% / Chicago Cubs 54.0%. Projected: Cincinnati Reds 2.04, Chicago Cubs 2.73 (total 4.77). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 4.0% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Athletics @ Chicago White Sox Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Athletics ★
56.6%
Chicago White Sox
43.4%
2.15
Athletics Runs
4.02
Total
1.88
Chicago White Sox Runs
Athletics ★
Chicago White Sox
Starting Pitchers
J.T. Ginn Starter Noah Schultz
3.10 ERA 6.00
1.22 WHIP 1.42
Recent Offense
1.00 L7 RPG 4.33
4.37 L30 RPG 4.74
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Chicago White Sox Noah Schultz (6.00 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 8.1 K/9) vs Athletics J.T. Ginn (3.10 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 7.9 K/9). Chicago White Sox offense: 4.73 RPG season, 4.00 L7, 4.70 L30. Athletics offense: 4.43 RPG season, 2.17 L7, 4.56 L30. Model F5: Chicago White Sox 43.4% / Athletics 56.6%. Projected: Chicago White Sox 1.88, Athletics 2.15 (total 4.02). Lean: Athletics F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 6.6% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Kansas City Royals
52.3%
Baltimore Orioles
47.7%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.24
Kansas City Royals Runs
5.66
Total
2.42
Baltimore Orioles Runs
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
Starting Pitchers
Seth Lugo Starter Shane Baz
4.56 ERA 4.21
1.43 WHIP 1.37
Recent Offense
6.00 L7 RPG 5.17
4.96 L30 RPG 4.19
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Baltimore Orioles Shane Baz (4.21 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 7.6 K/9) vs Kansas City Royals Seth Lugo (4.56 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 7.2 K/9). Baltimore Orioles offense: 4.57 RPG season, 4.17 L7, 4.15 L30. Kansas City Royals offense: 4.26 RPG season, 6.43 L7, 5.19 L30. Model F5: Baltimore Orioles 47.7% / Kansas City Royals 52.3%. Projected: Baltimore Orioles 2.42, Kansas City Royals 3.24 (total 5.66). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 2.3% above 50% MLB_F5_V1