F5 Predictions

First 5 Innings Model V1 — model confidence only, no sportsbook edge
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16 game(s)

New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
New York Yankees ★
58.2%
Washington Nationals
41.8%
1.87
New York Yankees Runs
3.51
Total
1.64
Washington Nationals Runs
New York Yankees ★
Washington Nationals
Starting Pitchers
Cam Schlittler Starter PJ Poulin
2.01 ERA 2.83
0.93 WHIP 1.31
Recent Offense
5.00 L7 RPG 5.17
4.11 L30 RPG 5.26
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Washington Nationals PJ Poulin (2.83 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 5.7 K/9) vs New York Yankees Cam Schlittler (2.01 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 10.5 K/9). Washington Nationals offense: 5.38 RPG season, 5.33 L7, 5.35 L30. New York Yankees offense: 4.82 RPG season, 4.43 L7, 4.11 L30. Model F5: Washington Nationals 41.8% / New York Yankees 58.2%. Projected: Washington Nationals 1.64, New York Yankees 1.87 (total 3.51). Lean: New York Yankees F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 8.2% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Houston Astros
54.9%
Texas Rangers
45.1%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.74
Houston Astros Runs
4.65
Total
1.91
Texas Rangers Runs
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
Starting Pitchers
Peter Lambert Starter Kumar Rocker
3.26 ERA 3.95
1.15 WHIP 1.34
Recent Offense
6.00 L7 RPG 5.33
4.59 L30 RPG 4.56
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Texas Rangers Kumar Rocker (3.95 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 7.9 K/9) vs Houston Astros Peter Lambert (3.26 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 8.3 K/9). Texas Rangers offense: 4.15 RPG season, 4.33 L7, 4.41 L30. Houston Astros offense: 4.53 RPG season, 5.67 L7, 4.62 L30. Model F5: Texas Rangers 45.1% / Houston Astros 54.9%. Projected: Texas Rangers 1.91, Houston Astros 2.74 (total 4.65). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 4.9% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Seattle Mariners
54.6%
Tampa Bay Rays
45.4%
No side meets confidence threshold
1.90
Seattle Mariners Runs
3.60
Total
1.70
Tampa Bay Rays Runs
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
Starting Pitchers
Logan Gilbert Starter Griffin Jax
3.19 ERA 3.60
0.95 WHIP 1.22
Recent Offense
3.33 L7 RPG 4.14
3.27 L30 RPG 4.46
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Tampa Bay Rays Griffin Jax (3.60 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 9.4 K/9) vs Seattle Mariners Logan Gilbert (3.19 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 9.6 K/9). Tampa Bay Rays offense: 4.53 RPG season, 4.14 L7, 4.44 L30. Seattle Mariners offense: 4.03 RPG season, 4.33 L7, 3.50 L30. Model F5: Tampa Bay Rays 45.4% / Seattle Mariners 54.6%. Projected: Tampa Bay Rays 1.70, Seattle Mariners 1.90 (total 3.60). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 4.6% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
Atlanta Braves ★
58.1%
St. Louis Cardinals
41.9%
3.75
Atlanta Braves Runs
5.46
Total
1.71
St. Louis Cardinals Runs
Atlanta Braves ★
St. Louis Cardinals
Starting Pitchers
Reynaldo López Starter Matthew Liberatore
3.18 ERA 5.34
1.27 WHIP 1.53
Recent Offense
4.14 L7 RPG 3.25
4.04 L30 RPG 4.39
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: St. Louis Cardinals Matthew Liberatore (5.34 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 8.5 K/9) vs Atlanta Braves Reynaldo López (3.18 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 8.2 K/9). St. Louis Cardinals offense: 4.54 RPG season, 3.25 L7, 4.57 L30. Atlanta Braves offense: 4.89 RPG season, 6.71 L7, 4.20 L30. Model F5: St. Louis Cardinals 41.9% / Atlanta Braves 58.1%. Projected: St. Louis Cardinals 1.71, Atlanta Braves 3.75 (total 5.46). Lean: Atlanta Braves F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 8.1% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Colorado Rockies
50.5%
San Francisco Giants
49.5%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.43
Colorado Rockies Runs
7.21
Total
3.78
San Francisco Giants Runs
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
Starting Pitchers
Kyle Freeland Starter Tyler Mahle
7.46 ERA 5.70
1.61 WHIP 1.49
Recent Offense
3.29 L7 RPG 4.43
5.89 L30 RPG 4.04
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: San Francisco Giants Tyler Mahle (5.70 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 8.8 K/9) vs Colorado Rockies Kyle Freeland (7.46 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 7.7 K/9). San Francisco Giants offense: 4.12 RPG season, 5.00 L7, 3.92 L30. Colorado Rockies offense: 4.82 RPG season, 4.43 L7, 6.04 L30. Model F5: San Francisco Giants 49.5% / Colorado Rockies 50.5%. Projected: San Francisco Giants 3.78, Colorado Rockies 3.43 (total 7.21). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 0.5% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Toronto Blue Jays ★
56.7%
San Diego Padres
43.3%
2.51
Toronto Blue Jays Runs
4.07
Total
1.55
San Diego Padres Runs
Toronto Blue Jays ★
San Diego Padres
Starting Pitchers
Trey Yesavage Starter Walker Buehler
3.31 ERA 5.07
1.08 WHIP 1.39
Recent Offense
6.00 L7 RPG 4.43
3.96 L30 RPG 4.32
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: San Diego Padres Walker Buehler (5.07 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 8.3 K/9) vs Toronto Blue Jays Trey Yesavage (3.31 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 8.4 K/9). San Diego Padres offense: 3.89 RPG season, 3.29 L7, 4.11 L30. Toronto Blue Jays offense: 4.05 RPG season, 4.17 L7, 4.00 L30. Model F5: San Diego Padres 43.3% / Toronto Blue Jays 56.7%. Projected: San Diego Padres 1.55, Toronto Blue Jays 2.51 (total 4.07). Lean: Toronto Blue Jays F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 6.7% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates DH·G@card.GameNumber Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Milwaukee Brewers ★
56.2%
Pittsburgh Pirates
43.8%
2.81
Milwaukee Brewers Runs
5.61
Total
2.79
Pittsburgh Pirates Runs
Milwaukee Brewers ★
Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting Pitchers
Shane Drohan Starter Bubba Chandler
2.97 ERA 4.82
1.24 WHIP 1.44
Recent Offense
5.00 L7 RPG 6.83
4.52 L30 RPG 6.00
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Pittsburgh Pirates Bubba Chandler (4.82 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 8.0 K/9) vs Milwaukee Brewers Shane Drohan (2.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 8.7 K/9). Pittsburgh Pirates offense: 5.23 RPG season, 7.00 L7, 5.65 L30. Milwaukee Brewers offense: 5.12 RPG season, 4.71 L7, 4.59 L30. Model F5: Pittsburgh Pirates 43.8% / Milwaukee Brewers 56.2%. Projected: Pittsburgh Pirates 2.79, Milwaukee Brewers 2.81 (total 5.61). Lean: Milwaukee Brewers F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 6.2% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Milwaukee Brewers
44.4%
Pittsburgh Pirates ★
55.6%
2.00
Milwaukee Brewers Runs
5.97
Total
3.97
Pittsburgh Pirates Runs
Milwaukee Brewers
★ Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting Pitchers
Brandon Sproat Starter Braxton Ashcraft
5.13 ERA 3.24
1.37 WHIP 1.10
Recent Offense
5.00 L7 RPG 6.83
4.52 L30 RPG 6.00
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Pittsburgh Pirates Braxton Ashcraft (3.24 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 10.2 K/9) vs Milwaukee Brewers Brandon Sproat (5.13 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 9.6 K/9). Pittsburgh Pirates offense: 5.23 RPG season, 7.00 L7, 5.65 L30. Milwaukee Brewers offense: 5.12 RPG season, 4.71 L7, 4.59 L30. Model F5: Pittsburgh Pirates 55.6% / Milwaukee Brewers 44.4%. Projected: Pittsburgh Pirates 3.97, Milwaukee Brewers 2.00 (total 5.97). Lean: Pittsburgh Pirates F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 5.6% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
Boston Red Sox ★
78.3%
New York Mets
21.7%
3.21
Boston Red Sox Runs
3.51
Total
0.30
New York Mets Runs
Boston Red Sox ★
New York Mets
Starting Pitchers
Eduardo Rivera Starter Freddy Peralta
0.00 ERA 4.68
0.30 WHIP 1.42
Recent Offense
4.67 L7 RPG 5.14
4.33 L30 RPG 4.25
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: New York Mets Freddy Peralta (4.68 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 8.8 K/9) vs Boston Red Sox Eduardo Rivera (0.00 ERA, 0.30 WHIP, 8.9 K/9). New York Mets offense: 4.17 RPG season, 6.71 L7, 4.61 L30. Boston Red Sox offense: 4.11 RPG season, 6.00 L7, 4.62 L30. Model F5: New York Mets 21.7% / Boston Red Sox 78.3%. Projected: New York Mets 0.30, Boston Red Sox 3.21 (total 3.51). Lean: Boston Red Sox F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 28.3% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
Los Angeles Angels
41.1%
Minnesota Twins ★
58.9%
1.94
Los Angeles Angels Runs
6.10
Total
4.16
Minnesota Twins Runs
Los Angeles Angels
★ Minnesota Twins
Starting Pitchers
Ryan Johnson Starter Joe Ryan
6.99 ERA 2.85
1.55 WHIP 1.04
Recent Offense
5.17 L7 RPG 3.83
4.37 L30 RPG 5.54
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Minnesota Twins Joe Ryan (2.85 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 10.6 K/9) vs Los Angeles Angels Ryan Johnson (6.99 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 7.7 K/9). Minnesota Twins offense: 4.86 RPG season, 5.17 L7, 5.54 L30. Los Angeles Angels offense: 4.47 RPG season, 5.33 L7, 4.50 L30. Model F5: Minnesota Twins 58.9% / Los Angeles Angels 41.1%. Projected: Minnesota Twins 4.16, Los Angeles Angels 1.94 (total 6.10). Lean: Minnesota Twins F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 8.9% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Cleveland Guardians
49.2%
Miami Marlins
50.8%
No side meets confidence threshold
1.70
Cleveland Guardians Runs
4.42
Total
2.73
Miami Marlins Runs
Cleveland Guardians
Miami Marlins
Starting Pitchers
Tanner Bibee Starter Eury Pérez
4.06 ERA 3.84
1.14 WHIP 1.10
Recent Offense
3.83 L7 RPG 3.50
3.81 L30 RPG 5.00
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Miami Marlins Eury Pérez (3.84 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 10.1 K/9) vs Cleveland Guardians Tanner Bibee (4.06 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 7.1 K/9). Miami Marlins offense: 4.59 RPG season, 5.67 L7, 5.26 L30. Cleveland Guardians offense: 3.96 RPG season, 3.50 L7, 3.72 L30. Model F5: Miami Marlins 50.8% / Cleveland Guardians 49.2%. Projected: Miami Marlins 2.73, Cleveland Guardians 1.70 (total 4.42). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 0.8% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Arizona Diamondbacks
42.6%
Los Angeles Dodgers ★
57.4%
1.45
Arizona Diamondbacks Runs
3.99
Total
2.54
Los Angeles Dodgers Runs
Arizona Diamondbacks
★ Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting Pitchers
Brandon Pfaadt Starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto
4.84 ERA 2.49
1.34 WHIP 0.88
Recent Offense
5.57 L7 RPG 3.83
4.52 L30 RPG 4.85
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Los Angeles Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2.49 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 8.7 K/9) vs Arizona Diamondbacks Brandon Pfaadt (4.84 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 7.3 K/9). Los Angeles Dodgers offense: 5.27 RPG season, 3.83 L7, 5.04 L30. Arizona Diamondbacks offense: 4.28 RPG season, 4.43 L7, 4.19 L30. Model F5: Los Angeles Dodgers 57.4% / Arizona Diamondbacks 42.6%. Projected: Los Angeles Dodgers 2.54, Arizona Diamondbacks 1.45 (total 3.99). Lean: Los Angeles Dodgers F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 7.4% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Philadelphia Phillies
49.8%
Detroit Tigers
50.2%
No side meets confidence threshold
1.40
Philadelphia Phillies Runs
3.57
Total
2.16
Detroit Tigers Runs
Philadelphia Phillies
Detroit Tigers
Starting Pitchers
Cristopher Sánchez Starter Casey Mize
2.62 ERA 2.64
1.16 WHIP 0.98
Recent Offense
3.14 L7 RPG 4.67
5.29 L30 RPG 4.62
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Detroit Tigers Casey Mize (2.64 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 9.1 K/9) vs Philadelphia Phillies Cristopher Sánchez (2.62 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 10.3 K/9). Detroit Tigers offense: 4.31 RPG season, 5.83 L7, 5.04 L30. Philadelphia Phillies offense: 4.37 RPG season, 3.00 L7, 5.15 L30. Model F5: Detroit Tigers 50.2% / Philadelphia Phillies 49.8%. Projected: Detroit Tigers 2.16, Philadelphia Phillies 1.40 (total 3.57). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 0.2% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Chicago Cubs ★
55.3%
Cincinnati Reds
44.7%
2.81
Chicago Cubs Runs
4.77
Total
1.97
Cincinnati Reds Runs
Chicago Cubs ★
Cincinnati Reds
Starting Pitchers
Javier Assad Starter Nick Lodolo
4.15 ERA 4.68
1.10 WHIP 1.46
Recent Offense
4.83 L7 RPG 3.83
6.23 L30 RPG 3.96
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Cincinnati Reds Nick Lodolo (4.68 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 7.3 K/9) vs Chicago Cubs Javier Assad (4.15 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 5.3 K/9). Cincinnati Reds offense: 4.17 RPG season, 4.00 L7, 3.92 L30. Chicago Cubs offense: 5.01 RPG season, 3.67 L7, 6.27 L30. Model F5: Cincinnati Reds 44.7% / Chicago Cubs 55.3%. Projected: Cincinnati Reds 1.97, Chicago Cubs 2.81 (total 4.77). Lean: Chicago Cubs F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 5.3% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Athletics @ Chicago White Sox Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Athletics
46.9%
Chicago White Sox
53.1%
No side meets confidence threshold
1.32
Athletics Runs
3.60
Total
2.28
Chicago White Sox Runs
Athletics
Chicago White Sox
Starting Pitchers
Gage Jump Starter Bryan Hudson
3.77 ERA 2.25
1.30 WHIP 1.30
Recent Offense
1.00 L7 RPG 4.33
4.37 L30 RPG 4.74
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Chicago White Sox Bryan Hudson (2.25 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 8.8 K/9) vs Athletics Gage Jump (3.77 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 8.6 K/9). Chicago White Sox offense: 4.77 RPG season, 4.33 L7, 4.85 L30. Athletics offense: 4.48 RPG season, 2.50 L7, 4.73 L30. Model F5: Chicago White Sox 53.1% / Athletics 46.9%. Projected: Chicago White Sox 2.28, Athletics 1.32 (total 3.60). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 3.1% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Kansas City Royals
51.1%
Baltimore Orioles
48.9%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.08
Kansas City Royals Runs
5.71
Total
2.63
Baltimore Orioles Runs
Kansas City Royals
Baltimore Orioles
Starting Pitchers
Noah Cameron Starter Kyle Bradish
4.77 ERA 3.75
1.45 WHIP 1.40
Recent Offense
6.00 L7 RPG 5.17
4.96 L30 RPG 4.19
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Baltimore Orioles Kyle Bradish (3.75 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 9.1 K/9) vs Kansas City Royals Noah Cameron (4.77 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 8.4 K/9). Baltimore Orioles offense: 4.56 RPG season, 4.50 L7, 4.19 L30. Kansas City Royals offense: 4.30 RPG season, 6.43 L7, 5.22 L30. Model F5: Baltimore Orioles 48.9% / Kansas City Royals 51.1%. Projected: Baltimore Orioles 2.63, Kansas City Royals 3.08 (total 5.71). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 1.1% above 50% MLB_F5_V1