F5 Predictions

First 5 Innings Model V1 — model confidence only, no sportsbook edge
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16 game(s)

Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Houston Astros
44.2%
Washington Nationals ★
55.8%
2.32
Houston Astros Runs
7.03
Total
4.71
Washington Nationals Runs
Houston Astros
★ Washington Nationals
Starting Pitchers
Tatsuya Imai Starter Andrew Alvarez
6.14 ERA 3.05
1.47 WHIP 1.38
Recent Offense
5.00 L7 RPG 3.80
4.46 L30 RPG 5.15
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Washington Nationals Andrew Alvarez (3.05 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 10.5 K/9) vs Houston Astros Tatsuya Imai (6.14 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 11.2 K/9). Washington Nationals offense: 5.40 RPG season, 7.50 L7, 5.41 L30. Houston Astros offense: 4.56 RPG season, 5.50 L7, 4.33 L30. Model F5: Washington Nationals 55.8% / Houston Astros 44.2%. Projected: Washington Nationals 4.71, Houston Astros 2.32 (total 7.03). Lean: Washington Nationals F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 5.8% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Los Angeles Angels
47.3%
Texas Rangers
52.7%
No side meets confidence threshold
1.36
Los Angeles Angels Runs
3.41
Total
2.06
Texas Rangers Runs
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
Starting Pitchers
José Soriano Starter Jacob deGrom
3.40 ERA 3.48
1.28 WHIP 0.99
Recent Offense
5.17 L7 RPG 5.33
4.23 L30 RPG 4.62
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Texas Rangers Jacob deGrom (3.48 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 10.9 K/9) vs Los Angeles Angels José Soriano (3.42 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 10.0 K/9). Texas Rangers offense: 4.08 RPG season, 4.20 L7, 4.42 L30. Los Angeles Angels offense: 4.39 RPG season, 2.20 L7, 4.65 L30. Model F5: Texas Rangers 52.7% / Los Angeles Angels 47.3%. Projected: Texas Rangers 2.06, Los Angeles Angels 1.36 (total 3.41). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 2.7% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
New York Yankees
50.7%
Tampa Bay Rays
49.3%
No side meets confidence threshold
1.79
New York Yankees Runs
3.98
Total
2.20
Tampa Bay Rays Runs
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
Starting Pitchers
Will Warren Starter Ian Seymour
4.15 ERA 4.11
1.37 WHIP 1.08
Recent Offense
5.00 L7 RPG 4.67
4.15 L30 RPG 4.63
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Tampa Bay Rays Ian Seymour (4.02 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 9.6 K/9) vs New York Yankees Will Warren (3.73 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 9.2 K/9). Tampa Bay Rays offense: 4.51 RPG season, 4.43 L7, 4.26 L30. New York Yankees offense: 4.80 RPG season, 3.33 L7, 4.22 L30. Model F5: Tampa Bay Rays 49.3% / New York Yankees 50.7%. Projected: Tampa Bay Rays 2.20, New York Yankees 1.79 (total 3.98). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 0.7% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals DH·G@card.GameNumber NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Milwaukee Brewers
49.7%
St. Louis Cardinals
50.3%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.32
Milwaukee Brewers Runs
5.56
Total
3.24
St. Louis Cardinals Runs
Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals
Starting Pitchers
Robert Gasser Starter Hunter Dobbins
4.15 ERA 3.63
1.18 WHIP 1.38
Recent Offense
5.14 L7 RPG 3.29
4.39 L30 RPG 4.22
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: St. Louis Cardinals Hunter Dobbins (3.63 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 10.0 K/9) vs Milwaukee Brewers Robert Gasser (4.54 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 9.2 K/9). St. Louis Cardinals offense: 4.61 RPG season, 6.29 L7, 5.12 L30. Milwaukee Brewers offense: 5.09 RPG season, 4.29 L7, 5.04 L30. Model F5: St. Louis Cardinals 50.3% / Milwaukee Brewers 49.7%. Projected: St. Louis Cardinals 3.24, Milwaukee Brewers 2.32 (total 5.56). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 0.3% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
Milwaukee Brewers ★
67.1%
St. Louis Cardinals
32.9%
3.58
Milwaukee Brewers Runs
4.99
Total
1.41
St. Louis Cardinals Runs
Milwaukee Brewers ★
St. Louis Cardinals
Starting Pitchers
Jacob Misiorowski Starter Matt Svanson
1.47 ERA 6.69
0.78 WHIP 1.67
Recent Offense
5.14 L7 RPG 3.29
4.39 L30 RPG 4.22
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: St. Louis Cardinals Matt Svanson (6.69 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 9.2 K/9) vs Milwaukee Brewers Jacob Misiorowski (1.47 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 13.5 K/9). St. Louis Cardinals offense: 4.61 RPG season, 6.29 L7, 5.12 L30. Milwaukee Brewers offense: 5.09 RPG season, 4.29 L7, 5.04 L30. Model F5: St. Louis Cardinals 32.9% / Milwaukee Brewers 67.1%. Projected: St. Louis Cardinals 1.41, Milwaukee Brewers 3.58 (total 4.99). Lean: Milwaukee Brewers F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 17.1% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Toronto Blue Jays
54.0%
San Francisco Giants
46.0%
No side meets confidence threshold
1.40
Toronto Blue Jays Runs
3.32
Total
1.92
San Francisco Giants Runs
Toronto Blue Jays
San Francisco Giants
Starting Pitchers
Spencer Miles Starter Trevor McDonald
2.83 ERA 5.46
1.04 WHIP 1.38
Recent Offense
7.00 L7 RPG 3.50
4.08 L30 RPG 4.16
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: San Francisco Giants Trevor McDonald (4.42 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 7.9 K/9) vs Toronto Blue Jays Spencer Miles (2.83 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 9.2 K/9). San Francisco Giants offense: 4.16 RPG season, 5.50 L7, 4.16 L30. Toronto Blue Jays offense: 3.92 RPG season, 2.00 L7, 3.50 L30. Model F5: San Francisco Giants 46.0% / Toronto Blue Jays 54.0%. Projected: San Francisco Giants 1.92, Toronto Blue Jays 1.40 (total 3.32). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 4.0% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.2%
San Diego Padres
47.8%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.16
Arizona Diamondbacks Runs
5.95
Total
2.79
San Diego Padres Runs
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
Starting Pitchers
Zac Gallen Starter Germán Márquez
6.36 ERA 5.02
1.57 WHIP 1.43
Recent Offense
5.17 L7 RPG 5.17
4.65 L30 RPG 4.15
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: San Diego Padres Germán Márquez (5.79 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 5.6 K/9) vs Arizona Diamondbacks Zac Gallen (6.36 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 5.5 K/9). San Diego Padres offense: 3.87 RPG season, 3.57 L7, 4.07 L30. Arizona Diamondbacks offense: 4.28 RPG season, 5.00 L7, 4.12 L30. Model F5: San Diego Padres 47.8% / Arizona Diamondbacks 52.2%. Projected: San Diego Padres 2.79, Arizona Diamondbacks 3.16 (total 5.95). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 2.2% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Atlanta Braves @ Pittsburgh Pirates Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Atlanta Braves
46.3%
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.7%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.48
Atlanta Braves Runs
5.64
Total
3.16
Pittsburgh Pirates Runs
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting Pitchers
Hurston Waldrep Starter Paul Skenes
3.68 ERA 3.58
1.64 WHIP 1.04
Recent Offense
3.83 L7 RPG 6.83
4.08 L30 RPG 6.12
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Pittsburgh Pirates Paul Skenes (3.62 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 11.0 K/9) vs Atlanta Braves Hurston Waldrep (3.68 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 9.0 K/9). Pittsburgh Pirates offense: 5.22 RPG season, 5.83 L7, 5.54 L30. Atlanta Braves offense: 4.91 RPG season, 6.71 L7, 4.00 L30. Model F5: Pittsburgh Pirates 53.7% / Atlanta Braves 46.3%. Projected: Pittsburgh Pirates 3.16, Atlanta Braves 2.48 (total 5.64). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 3.7% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Kansas City Royals
54.4%
New York Mets
45.6%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.08
Kansas City Royals Runs
5.57
Total
2.49
New York Mets Runs
Kansas City Royals
New York Mets
Starting Pitchers
Seth Lugo Starter Cionel Pérez
4.56 ERA 5.50
1.43 WHIP 1.43
Recent Offense
4.50 L7 RPG 4.83
4.89 L30 RPG 4.37
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: New York Mets Cionel Pérez (5.50 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 7.9 K/9) vs Kansas City Royals Seth Lugo (4.20 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 7.1 K/9). New York Mets offense: 4.06 RPG season, 4.83 L7, 4.11 L30. Kansas City Royals offense: 4.22 RPG season, 4.50 L7, 5.08 L30. Model F5: New York Mets 45.6% / Kansas City Royals 54.4%. Projected: New York Mets 2.49, Kansas City Royals 3.08 (total 5.57). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 4.4% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Cleveland Guardians
49.3%
Minnesota Twins
50.7%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.15
Cleveland Guardians Runs
5.28
Total
3.13
Minnesota Twins Runs
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
Starting Pitchers
Joey Cantillo Starter Taj Bradley
3.66 ERA 3.67
1.39 WHIP 1.22
Recent Offense
3.83 L7 RPG 3.83
3.84 L30 RPG 5.52
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Minnesota Twins Taj Bradley (3.86 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 10.4 K/9) vs Cleveland Guardians Joey Cantillo (3.86 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 8.8 K/9). Minnesota Twins offense: 4.92 RPG season, 6.20 L7, 5.80 L30. Cleveland Guardians offense: 3.98 RPG season, 4.67 L7, 3.60 L30. Model F5: Minnesota Twins 50.7% / Cleveland Guardians 49.3%. Projected: Minnesota Twins 3.13, Cleveland Guardians 2.15 (total 5.28). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 0.7% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Seattle Mariners @ Miami Marlins Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Seattle Mariners
47.3%
Miami Marlins
52.7%
No side meets confidence threshold
1.66
Seattle Mariners Runs
5.12
Total
3.47
Miami Marlins Runs
Seattle Mariners
Miami Marlins
Starting Pitchers
Bryan Woo Starter Max Meyer
4.17 ERA 2.53
1.03 WHIP 1.11
Recent Offense
3.33 L7 RPG 3.50
3.28 L30 RPG 5.12
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Miami Marlins Max Meyer (2.53 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 9.8 K/9) vs Seattle Mariners Bryan Woo (4.17 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 8.8 K/9). Miami Marlins offense: 4.59 RPG season, 8.17 L7, 5.62 L30. Seattle Mariners offense: 4.09 RPG season, 4.80 L7, 3.77 L30. Model F5: Miami Marlins 52.7% / Seattle Mariners 47.3%. Projected: Miami Marlins 3.47, Seattle Mariners 1.66 (total 5.12). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 2.7% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
Colorado Rockies
41.7%
Los Angeles Dodgers ★
58.3%
2.78
Colorado Rockies Runs
7.36
Total
4.58
Los Angeles Dodgers Runs
Colorado Rockies
★ Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting Pitchers
Michael Lorenzen Starter Justin Wrobleski
6.46 ERA 2.80
1.78 WHIP 1.01
Recent Offense
2.67 L7 RPG 3.00
5.93 L30 RPG 4.77
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Los Angeles Dodgers Justin Wrobleski (2.80 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 6.2 K/9) vs Colorado Rockies Michael Lorenzen (6.91 ERA, 1.81 WHIP, 7.0 K/9). Los Angeles Dodgers offense: 5.34 RPG season, 5.57 L7, 5.59 L30. Colorado Rockies offense: 4.89 RPG season, 8.00 L7, 6.30 L30. Model F5: Los Angeles Dodgers 58.3% / Colorado Rockies 41.7%. Projected: Los Angeles Dodgers 4.58, Colorado Rockies 2.78 (total 7.36). Lean: Los Angeles Dodgers F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 8.3% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Athletics @ Detroit Tigers Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Athletics
47.9%
Detroit Tigers
52.1%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.05
Athletics Runs
4.38
Total
2.33
Detroit Tigers Runs
Athletics
Detroit Tigers
Starting Pitchers
J.T. Ginn Starter Tarik Skubal
3.10 ERA 3.06
1.22 WHIP 0.95
Recent Offense
1.00 L7 RPG 4.67
4.27 L30 RPG 4.76
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Detroit Tigers Tarik Skubal (3.15 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 10.4 K/9) vs Athletics J.T. Ginn (3.04 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 7.9 K/9). Detroit Tigers offense: 4.21 RPG season, 5.60 L7, 4.96 L30. Athletics offense: 4.62 RPG season, 5.00 L7, 5.69 L30. Model F5: Detroit Tigers 52.1% / Athletics 47.9%. Projected: Detroit Tigers 2.33, Athletics 2.05 (total 4.38). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 2.1% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
Philadelphia Phillies ★
61.1%
Cincinnati Reds
38.9%
2.68
Philadelphia Phillies Runs
3.83
Total
1.15
Cincinnati Reds Runs
Philadelphia Phillies ★
Cincinnati Reds
Starting Pitchers
Zack Wheeler Starter Andrew Abbott
2.28 ERA 3.92
0.91 WHIP 1.41
Recent Offense
3.50 L7 RPG 3.83
5.15 L30 RPG 4.04
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Cincinnati Reds Andrew Abbott (3.88 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 6.9 K/9) vs Philadelphia Phillies Zack Wheeler (2.36 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 9.5 K/9). Cincinnati Reds offense: 4.18 RPG season, 3.17 L7, 3.85 L30. Philadelphia Phillies offense: 4.43 RPG season, 4.67 L7, 5.56 L30. Model F5: Cincinnati Reds 38.9% / Philadelphia Phillies 61.1%. Projected: Cincinnati Reds 1.15, Philadelphia Phillies 2.68 (total 3.83). Lean: Philadelphia Phillies F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 11.1% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Boston Red Sox ★
57.7%
Chicago White Sox
42.3%
2.95
Boston Red Sox Runs
5.06
Total
2.11
Chicago White Sox Runs
Boston Red Sox ★
Chicago White Sox
Starting Pitchers
Payton Tolle Starter Noah Schultz
3.14 ERA 6.00
1.07 WHIP 1.42
Recent Offense
4.67 L7 RPG 4.33
4.27 L30 RPG 4.89
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Chicago White Sox Noah Schultz (5.86 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 8.4 K/9) vs Boston Red Sox Payton Tolle (3.39 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 9.0 K/9). Chicago White Sox offense: 4.81 RPG season, 4.67 L7, 4.92 L30. Boston Red Sox offense: 4.06 RPG season, 4.60 L7, 4.19 L30. Model F5: Chicago White Sox 42.3% / Boston Red Sox 57.7%. Projected: Chicago White Sox 2.11, Boston Red Sox 2.95 (total 5.06). Lean: Boston Red Sox F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 7.7% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Chicago Cubs
52.9%
Baltimore Orioles
47.1%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.88
Chicago Cubs Runs
6.56
Total
2.68
Baltimore Orioles Runs
Chicago Cubs
Baltimore Orioles
Starting Pitchers
Matthew Boyd Starter Shane Baz
4.31 ERA 4.21
1.31 WHIP 1.37
Recent Offense
4.83 L7 RPG 5.17
6.24 L30 RPG 4.24
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Baltimore Orioles Shane Baz (4.19 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 7.8 K/9) vs Chicago Cubs Matthew Boyd (5.08 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 10.1 K/9). Baltimore Orioles offense: 4.57 RPG season, 4.40 L7, 4.27 L30. Chicago Cubs offense: 5.06 RPG season, 7.80 L7, 6.12 L30. Model F5: Baltimore Orioles 47.1% / Chicago Cubs 52.9%. Projected: Baltimore Orioles 2.68, Chicago Cubs 3.88 (total 6.56). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 2.9% above 50% MLB_F5_V1