F5 Predictions

First 5 Innings Model V1 — model confidence only, no sportsbook edge
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13 game(s)

Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Los Angeles Angels
51.3%
Texas Rangers
48.7%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.11
Los Angeles Angels Runs
4.26
Total
2.15
Texas Rangers Runs
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
Starting Pitchers
Reid Detmers Starter Nathan Eovaldi
4.13 ERA 4.02
1.11 WHIP 1.17
Recent Offense
5.17 L7 RPG 5.33
4.23 L30 RPG 4.62
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Texas Rangers Nathan Eovaldi (4.02 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 9.4 K/9) vs Los Angeles Angels Reid Detmers (4.13 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 10.1 K/9). Texas Rangers offense: 4.09 RPG season, 4.40 L7, 4.22 L30. Los Angeles Angels offense: 4.46 RPG season, 4.00 L7, 4.62 L30. Model F5: Texas Rangers 48.7% / Los Angeles Angels 51.3%. Projected: Texas Rangers 2.15, Los Angeles Angels 2.11 (total 4.26). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 1.3% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
New York Yankees
44.2%
Tampa Bay Rays ★
55.8%
1.24
New York Yankees Runs
3.47
Total
2.23
Tampa Bay Rays Runs
New York Yankees
★ Tampa Bay Rays
Starting Pitchers
TBD Starter Drew Rasmussen
— ERA 2.78
— WHIP 0.90
Recent Offense
5.00 L7 RPG 4.67
4.15 L30 RPG 4.63
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Tampa Bay Rays Drew Rasmussen (2.78 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 8.9 K/9) vs New York Yankees TBD (league avg). Tampa Bay Rays offense: 4.51 RPG season, 3.71 L7, 4.44 L30. New York Yankees offense: 4.74 RPG season, 3.17 L7, 3.89 L30. Model F5: Tampa Bay Rays 55.8% / New York Yankees 44.2%. Projected: Tampa Bay Rays 2.23, New York Yankees 1.24 (total 3.47). Lean: Tampa Bay Rays F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 5.8% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Milwaukee Brewers ★
55.1%
St. Louis Cardinals
44.9%
2.05
Milwaukee Brewers Runs
4.18
Total
2.12
St. Louis Cardinals Runs
Milwaukee Brewers ★
St. Louis Cardinals
Starting Pitchers
Logan Henderson Starter Andre Pallante
2.74 ERA 3.60
1.04 WHIP 1.22
Recent Offense
5.14 L7 RPG 3.29
4.39 L30 RPG 4.22
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: St. Louis Cardinals Andre Pallante (3.60 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 6.6 K/9) vs Milwaukee Brewers Logan Henderson (2.74 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 11.7 K/9). St. Louis Cardinals offense: 4.57 RPG season, 6.00 L7, 4.93 L30. Milwaukee Brewers offense: 5.09 RPG season, 4.25 L7, 4.43 L30. Model F5: St. Louis Cardinals 44.9% / Milwaukee Brewers 55.1%. Projected: St. Louis Cardinals 2.12, Milwaukee Brewers 2.05 (total 4.18). Lean: Milwaukee Brewers F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 5.1% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Colorado Rockies
54.0%
San Francisco Giants
46.0%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.94
Colorado Rockies Runs
6.27
Total
2.33
San Francisco Giants Runs
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
Starting Pitchers
Ryan Feltner Starter TBD
4.27 ERA —
1.22 WHIP —
Recent Offense
2.67 L7 RPG 3.50
5.93 L30 RPG 4.16
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: San Francisco Giants TBD (league avg) vs Colorado Rockies Ryan Feltner (4.27 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 6.7 K/9). San Francisco Giants offense: 4.10 RPG season, 4.67 L7, 4.08 L30. Colorado Rockies offense: 4.86 RPG season, 7.71 L7, 6.18 L30. Model F5: San Francisco Giants 46.0% / Colorado Rockies 54.0%. Projected: San Francisco Giants 2.33, Colorado Rockies 3.94 (total 6.27). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 4.0% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.8%
San Diego Padres
47.2%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.00
Arizona Diamondbacks Runs
5.89
Total
2.89
San Diego Padres Runs
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
Starting Pitchers
Merrill Kelly Starter Griffin Canning
5.71 ERA 6.71
1.56 WHIP 1.61
Recent Offense
5.17 L7 RPG 5.17
4.65 L30 RPG 4.15
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: San Diego Padres Griffin Canning (6.71 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 8.8 K/9) vs Arizona Diamondbacks Merrill Kelly (5.71 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 5.5 K/9). San Diego Padres offense: 3.94 RPG season, 4.14 L7, 4.26 L30. Arizona Diamondbacks offense: 4.24 RPG season, 3.83 L7, 3.96 L30. Model F5: San Diego Padres 47.2% / Arizona Diamondbacks 52.8%. Projected: San Diego Padres 2.89, Arizona Diamondbacks 3.00 (total 5.89). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 2.8% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Atlanta Braves @ Pittsburgh Pirates Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Atlanta Braves
53.5%
Pittsburgh Pirates
46.5%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.30
Atlanta Braves Runs
6.54
Total
3.24
Pittsburgh Pirates Runs
Atlanta Braves
Pittsburgh Pirates
Starting Pitchers
Bryce Elder Starter Mitch Keller
4.01 ERA 5.02
1.23 WHIP 1.31
Recent Offense
3.83 L7 RPG 6.83
4.08 L30 RPG 6.12
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Pittsburgh Pirates Mitch Keller (5.02 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 6.7 K/9) vs Atlanta Braves Bryce Elder (4.01 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 7.6 K/9). Pittsburgh Pirates offense: 5.24 RPG season, 6.83 L7, 5.70 L30. Atlanta Braves offense: 4.88 RPG season, 6.57 L7, 4.00 L30. Model F5: Pittsburgh Pirates 46.5% / Atlanta Braves 53.5%. Projected: Pittsburgh Pirates 3.24, Atlanta Braves 3.30 (total 6.54). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 3.5% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Kansas City Royals ★
55.5%
New York Mets
44.5%
3.64
Kansas City Royals Runs
6.29
Total
2.65
New York Mets Runs
Kansas City Royals ★
New York Mets
Starting Pitchers
Michael Wacha Starter Sean Manaea
3.45 ERA 4.76
1.16 WHIP 1.35
Recent Offense
4.50 L7 RPG 4.83
4.89 L30 RPG 4.37
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: New York Mets Sean Manaea (4.76 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 9.0 K/9) vs Kansas City Royals Michael Wacha (3.45 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 7.2 K/9). New York Mets offense: 4.16 RPG season, 6.83 L7, 4.36 L30. Kansas City Royals offense: 4.32 RPG season, 6.83 L7, 5.33 L30. Model F5: New York Mets 44.5% / Kansas City Royals 55.5%. Projected: New York Mets 2.65, Kansas City Royals 3.64 (total 6.29). Lean: Kansas City Royals F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 5.5% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Cleveland Guardians
51.9%
Minnesota Twins
48.1%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.06
Cleveland Guardians Runs
4.83
Total
2.77
Minnesota Twins Runs
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
Starting Pitchers
Gavin Williams Starter Bailey Ober
3.89 ERA 4.59
1.18 WHIP 1.22
Recent Offense
3.83 L7 RPG 3.83
3.84 L30 RPG 5.52
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Minnesota Twins Bailey Ober (4.59 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 6.3 K/9) vs Cleveland Guardians Gavin Williams (3.89 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 10.4 K/9). Minnesota Twins offense: 4.91 RPG season, 5.60 L7, 5.73 L30. Cleveland Guardians offense: 3.96 RPG season, 3.83 L7, 3.64 L30. Model F5: Minnesota Twins 48.1% / Cleveland Guardians 51.9%. Projected: Minnesota Twins 2.77, Cleveland Guardians 2.06 (total 4.83). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 1.9% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Seattle Mariners @ Miami Marlins StrongBet F5
F5 Win Probability
Seattle Mariners ★
63.0%
Miami Marlins
37.0%
2.04
Seattle Mariners Runs
3.53
Total
1.49
Miami Marlins Runs
Seattle Mariners ★
Miami Marlins
Starting Pitchers
Bryce Miller Starter Janson Junk
1.71 ERA 4.80
0.66 WHIP 1.30
Recent Offense
3.33 L7 RPG 3.50
3.28 L30 RPG 5.12
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Miami Marlins Janson Junk (4.80 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 6.5 K/9) vs Seattle Mariners Bryce Miller (1.71 ERA, 0.66 WHIP, 10.7 K/9). Miami Marlins offense: 4.58 RPG season, 6.67 L7, 5.56 L30. Seattle Mariners offense: 4.05 RPG season, 3.50 L7, 3.58 L30. Model F5: Miami Marlins 37.0% / Seattle Mariners 63.0%. Projected: Miami Marlins 1.49, Seattle Mariners 2.04 (total 3.53). Lean: Seattle Mariners F5 ML (StrongBet).

Confidence: 13.0% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Athletics @ Detroit Tigers NoPlay F5
F5 Win Probability
Athletics
48.1%
Detroit Tigers
51.9%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.32
Athletics Runs
6.07
Total
3.75
Detroit Tigers Runs
Athletics
Detroit Tigers
Starting Pitchers
Jack Perkins Starter Framber Valdez
6.75 ERA 4.29
1.45 WHIP 1.38
Recent Offense
1.00 L7 RPG 4.67
4.27 L30 RPG 4.76
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Detroit Tigers Framber Valdez (4.29 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 7.0 K/9) vs Athletics Jack Perkins (6.75 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 11.7 K/9). Detroit Tigers offense: 4.25 RPG season, 5.00 L7, 5.04 L30. Athletics offense: 4.55 RPG season, 3.60 L7, 5.08 L30. Model F5: Detroit Tigers 51.9% / Athletics 48.1%. Projected: Detroit Tigers 3.75, Athletics 2.32 (total 6.07). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 1.9% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds Bet F5
F5 Win Probability
Philadelphia Phillies ★
55.6%
Cincinnati Reds
44.4%
2.57
Philadelphia Phillies Runs
4.73
Total
2.15
Cincinnati Reds Runs
Philadelphia Phillies ★
Cincinnati Reds
Starting Pitchers
Jesús Luzardo Starter Brady Singer
3.75 ERA 5.03
1.27 WHIP 1.54
Recent Offense
3.50 L7 RPG 3.83
5.15 L30 RPG 4.04
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Cincinnati Reds Brady Singer (5.03 ERA, 1.54 WHIP, 7.8 K/9) vs Philadelphia Phillies Jesús Luzardo (3.75 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 10.9 K/9). Cincinnati Reds offense: 4.22 RPG season, 4.50 L7, 4.12 L30. Philadelphia Phillies offense: 4.43 RPG season, 3.17 L7, 5.37 L30. Model F5: Cincinnati Reds 44.4% / Philadelphia Phillies 55.6%. Projected: Cincinnati Reds 2.15, Philadelphia Phillies 2.57 (total 4.73). Lean: Philadelphia Phillies F5 ML (Bet).

Confidence: 5.6% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Boston Red Sox
53.7%
Chicago White Sox
46.3%
No side meets confidence threshold
3.23
Boston Red Sox Runs
5.30
Total
2.07
Chicago White Sox Runs
Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox
Starting Pitchers
Patrick Sandoval Starter Anthony Kay
— ERA 4.29
— WHIP 1.39
Recent Offense
4.67 L7 RPG 4.33
4.27 L30 RPG 4.89
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Chicago White Sox Anthony Kay (4.29 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 7.2 K/9) vs Boston Red Sox Patrick Sandoval (4.50 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 8.5 K/9). Chicago White Sox offense: 4.71 RPG season, 3.17 L7, 4.58 L30. Boston Red Sox offense: 4.11 RPG season, 6.60 L7, 4.62 L30. Model F5: Chicago White Sox 46.3% / Boston Red Sox 53.7%. Projected: Chicago White Sox 2.07, Boston Red Sox 3.23 (total 5.30). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 3.7% above 50% MLB_F5_V1
Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles Lean F5
F5 Win Probability
Chicago Cubs
48.0%
Baltimore Orioles
52.0%
No side meets confidence threshold
2.91
Chicago Cubs Runs
6.35
Total
3.44
Baltimore Orioles Runs
Chicago Cubs
Baltimore Orioles
Starting Pitchers
David Peterson Starter Trevor Rogers
6.75 ERA 4.70
1.67 WHIP 1.32
Recent Offense
4.83 L7 RPG 5.17
6.24 L30 RPG 4.24
Model reasoning

F5 Starters: Baltimore Orioles Trevor Rogers (4.70 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 7.0 K/9) vs Chicago Cubs David Peterson (6.75 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, 7.9 K/9). Baltimore Orioles offense: 4.57 RPG season, 4.40 L7, 4.35 L30. Chicago Cubs offense: 5.10 RPG season, 4.20 L7, 6.39 L30. Model F5: Baltimore Orioles 52.0% / Chicago Cubs 48.0%. Projected: Baltimore Orioles 3.44, Chicago Cubs 2.91 (total 6.35). No F5 side meets confidence threshold.

Confidence: 2.0% above 50% MLB_F5_V1